QuantVeritas rebuilds the official inflation and growth data the market watches — CPI, PCE, and GDP, straight from BLS, BEA, and FRED source files — into decompositions, robust gauges, and real-time nowcasts published morning-of-release, with every number traceable to its source series.
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CPI headline broken into shelter, core services ex-shelter, core goods, energy, and food — weighted contributions. PCE reported the way a chain index should be: each cut standalone, no forced partition.
Each subcomponent's surprise scored against its trailing 24-month distribution — same spec on both gauges. See instantly which line items are doing the work.
Median and 16% trimmed-mean CPI, reconstructed and tracked against the Cleveland Fed print, plus the breadth read — the share of components rising faster than 3% a year.
Core CPI and Core PCE side by side, plus supercore (services ex housing). The monthly agreement and the y/y wedge — the difference the FOMC actually reacts to — reconciled every release.
A weekly, vintage-controlled GDP nowcast scored against Atlanta Fed GDPNow, the NY Fed and the SPF — and high-frequency indicators signaling component pressure between CPI releases.
OIS curve at 8:29 vs. 8:35 ET on the CPI print. Repricing in basis points through year-end, with an EFFR-SOFR basis cross-check that separates Fed-path repricing from money-market plumbing.
The decompositions, robust gauges, and gauge wedge behind every release — with the GDP nowcast tracking in between.
CUSR0000SA0, CUSR0000SASL2RS).
CUSR0000SA0L1E) and BEA (PCEPILFE) via FRED.
The full Macro Intelligence memo from the March 2026 CPI release — component decomposition, surprise z-scores, OIS reaction window, sector mapping, and conditional positioning bias. Every CPI release now ships with a matched PCE companion — Core PCE, supercore, and the gauge wedge. The weekly GDP nowcast ships its own read, scored against GDPNow, the NY Fed, and the SPF. Reproduced unedited.
Every release produces both. Free posts publicly; premium lands in your inbox.
Posted to X within minutes of the release. Hard cap: 300 words.
Launch rate, locked in for life for waitlist subscribers. Standard $49/mo or $490/yr after launch.
Everything in the free tier, plus the trade-floor read. 800–1200 words.
Launch pricing: premium is $29/month or $290/year (about two months free) for the waitlist cohort — locked in for as long as you stay subscribed. The standard rate rises to $49/month / $490/year after launch. One email per release; cancel any time.
I'm Terence Agbeyegbe, Professor of Economics at Hunter College, CUNY. Applied econometrician with 20+ years researching the methods most desks use to read inflation. QuantVeritas is the tool I always wished I had on release morning.
I'm joined by Toneukarin Agbeyegbe, Quantitative Analyst, who holds an MS in Statistics from Rutgers University and works on the release analytics and report production.