QuantVeritas turns each BLS CPI and BEA PCE release into a clean component decomposition, surprise z-scores, and the CPI-vs-PCE gauge wedge — both inflation measures the Fed watches, in your inbox within minutes of the release.
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CPI headline broken into shelter, core services ex-shelter, core goods, energy, and food — weighted contributions. PCE reported the way a chain index should be: each cut standalone, no forced partition.
Each subcomponent's surprise scored against its trailing 24-month distribution — same spec on both gauges. See instantly which line items are doing the work.
Core CPI and Core PCE side by side, plus supercore (services ex housing). The monthly agreement and the y/y wedge — the difference the FOMC actually reacts to — reconciled every release.
OIS curve at 8:29 vs. 8:35 ET on the CPI print. Repricing in basis points through year-end, with an EFFR-SOFR basis cross-check that separates Fed-path repricing from money-market plumbing.
Two gauges, one read: the CPI decomposition and the CPI-vs-PCE wedge, every release morning.
CUSR0000SA0, CUSR0000SASL2RS).
CUSR0000SA0L1E) and BEA (PCEPILFE) via FRED.
The full Macro Intelligence memo from the March 2026 CPI release — component decomposition, surprise z-scores, OIS reaction window, sector mapping, and conditional positioning bias. Every CPI release now ships with a matched PCE companion — Core PCE, supercore, and the gauge wedge. Reproduced unedited.
Every CPI and PCE release produces both. Free posts publicly; premium lands in your inbox.
Posted to X within minutes of the release. Hard cap: 300 words.
Launch rate, locked in for life for waitlist subscribers. Standard $49/mo or $490/yr after launch.
Everything in the free tier, plus the trade-floor read. 800–1200 words.
Launch pricing: premium is $29/month or $290/year (about two months free) for the waitlist cohort — locked in for as long as you stay subscribed. The standard rate rises to $49/month / $490/year after launch. One email per release; cancel any time.
I'm Terence Agbeyegbe, Professor of Economics at Hunter College, CUNY. Applied econometrician with 20+ years researching the methods most desks use to read inflation. QuantVeritas is the tool I always wished I had on release morning.
I'm joined by Toneukarin Agbeyegbe, Quantitative Analyst, who holds an MS in Statistics from Rutgers University and works on the release analytics and report production.